Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005
Name: TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI [04W/0704]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 10 JULY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 10 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #010
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 10 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #010
_______________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI {pronounced as "Mun-yi"} (04W)
APPROACHING THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR)
APPROACHING THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR)
AS IT MAINTAINS ITS WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AND STRENGTH...
LIKELY TO BECOME A TYPHOON TODAY.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: MAN-YI is expected to resume its inten-LIKELY TO BECOME A TYPHOON TODAY.
sification in the coming hours and days as it traverses the
Philippine Sea. This storm shall continue moving in a gene-
rally WNW to NW'ly track for the next 2 to 3 days. Majority
of the computer forecast models continues to show a Taiwan-
Okinawa path sometime July 13-14. Based on its current speed,
MAN-YI is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsi-
bility (PAR) around 11 PM tonight. The 4 to 5-day long-range
forecast (Jul 14-15) shows the storm becoming a Category 4
Typhoon (215 km/hr) as it turns toward the North, passing to
the West of Okinawa, Japan early Saturday morning (Jul 14).
+ EFFECTS: MAN-YI's over-all circulation remains large and
continues to cover the whole Micronesia, Marianas and por-
tions of the Philippine Sea - with its outer cloud bands
reaching as far as Saipan to the East & Palau to the West.
Overcast skies with moderate to heavy rains & gale-force
winds of 55-65 km/hr will continue to prevail today over
the mentioned areas.
+ MONSOON INTENSITY FORECAST: The advance 2 to 4-day fore-
cast suggests a surge of moderate to strong Southwest (SW)
Monsoon which is likely to affect the Philippines sometime
July 12-14 (Thu-Sat) due to the passage of MAN-YI over the
Philippine Sea, which is expected to enhance the Monsoon
system. Cloudy skies with intermittent passing rains or
thunderstorms can be expected across the country w/ SW'ly
winds of 30 km/hr or higher, becoming more intense along
Western Luzon & Western Visayas including Metro Manila.
Stay tuned for more Monsoon updates in the coming days.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: N/A.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 10 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 12.1º N...LONGITUDE 138.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 290 KM (157 NM) NORTH OF COLONIA, YAP IS.
DISTANCE 2: 360 KM (195 NM) EAST OF PAR
DISTANCE 3: 720 KM (390 NM) WSW OF HAGATNA, GUAM
DISTANCE 4: 1,525 KM (823 NM) ESE OF BICOL REGION, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 984 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 740 KM (400 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME JULY 10
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 10 JULY: 13.2N 136.6E / 120-150 KPH / NW @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 11 JULY: 14.7N 134.3E / 140-165 KPH / NW @ 24 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 10 JULY POSITION: 11.8N 138.9E.
^ANIMATED MULITSPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM
(TS) MAN-YI HAS CONSOLIDATED INTO AN EXTREMELY LARGE CIRCULA-
TION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS ALSO INCREASED IN THE VICINITY OF
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AND SSMI MICROWAVE
PASS INDICATES CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE
LLCC...(more info)
>> MAN-YI {pronounced: mun~yi}, meaning: Name of a strait ori-
ginally. With the construction of a dam, that part of the
sea has become a reservoir. Name contributed by: Hong Kong.
____________
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS MAN-YI (04W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS MAN-YI (04W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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