Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon FUNG-WONG (IGME) moving closer to Taiwan... [Update #007]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007

Name: TYPHOON FUNG-WONG [IGME/09W/0808]

Issued: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) SUN 27 JULY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 011
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TYPHOON FUNG-WONG (IGME) TURNS WEST-NORTHWEST...AIMS FOR TAIWAN...

INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY...OUTERMOST BANDS CONTINUES TO AFFECT EXTREME

NORTHERN LUZON.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FUNG-WONG is expected to continue moving WNW to NW-ward

for the next 24 to 36 hours and intensify - reaching Category 3 status w/

forecast wind speed of 185 km/hr. The EYE shall pass more or less 200 km

to the north of Batanes tomorrow morning and make landfall over Eastern

Taiwan passing close to the south of Hualien City by tomorrow noontime,

approx 12-1 PM Manila Time. The center/eye shall cross Taiwan tomorrow

late afternoon and move out into Taiwan Strait tomorrow evening. The 2 to

4-day medium-range forecast shows the system tracking NW-ward, making its

final landfall over Southeastern China Tuesday morning (Jul 29) as a

Category 1 Typhoon & cross the rugged terrain of Fujian Province thru

Wednesday (July 30). Complete dissipation is forecast over Zhejiang

Province, China on Thursday, July 31st. *Alternate Forecast Scenario:

There is a possibilty that FUNG-WONG may turn poleward (Northward)

skirting Northern Taiwan, if the High Pressure Steering Ridge to

its North-NNE weakens.

+ EFFECTS: FUNG-WONG's strong spiral-cloud circulation continues to

expand & improve over the Northern Philippine Sea. Its western &

southwesternmost outer rain bands continues to spread across Extreme

Northern Luzon. Rains and winds of not in excess of 60 km/hr can be

expected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas must seek

higher grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to the antici-

pated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures

must be initiated if necessary. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to

5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous ba-

ttering waves can be expected near and to the north on where the

center makes landfall in Eastern Taiwan. Minimal damage is possible

on this type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is possible

along coastal areas of Southeastern China, Extreme Northern Luzon

with surf reaching 3 feet at most.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon being enhanced

by Typhoon FUNG-WONG (IGME), continues to affect Luzon and Western Vi-

sayas including Metro Manila. Partly Cloudy to Cloudy skies with po-

ssible light to moderate passing rains w/ at times heavy downpour &

SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected. Landslides, mud-

flows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/

volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the

affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) 27 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 21.7º N...LONGITUDE 124.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 290 KM (155 NM) ENE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH

DISTANCE 2: 470 KM (255 NM) NNE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH

DISTANCE 3: 390 KM (210 NM) SE OF HUALIEN, TAIWAN

DISTANCE 4: 470 KM (255 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 967 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 890 KM (480 NM)/LARGE-VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 25 FEET (7.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 8 AM MANILA TIME SUN JULY 27
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - BATANES & BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#02 - CAGAYAN, APAYAO & ILOCOS NORTE.
#01 - KALINGA, ABRA, MT. PROVINCE, ILOCOS SUR, IFUGAO,
BENGUET, LA UNION, PANGASINAN, ZAMBALES, & BATAAN.

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 27 JULY: 22.4N 123.5E / 160-195 KPH / NW @ 15 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 28 JULY: 23.3N 122.1E / 185-230 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 29 JULY: 25.6N 119.4E / 130-160 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 30 JULY: 27.8N 118.2E / 85-100 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 27 JULY POSITION: 21.5N 124.9E.
^TYPHOON (TY) FUNG-WONG HAS STEADILY INTENSIFIED UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND HIGH OCEAN HEAT
CONTENT AND CONTINUED TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS. A DEVELOPING EYE FEATURE IS NOW EVIDENT IN
BOTH MICROWAVE AND MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY...(more)

>> FUNG-WONG {pronounced: fang~wang}, meaning: Phoenix (Name of Peak).
Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 10 AM (02 GMT) 27 JULY: 21.7N 124.6E / WNW @ 15 KPH / 130 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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