Saturday, July 26, 2008

TS FUNG-WONG (IGME) - Update #005


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005
Name: TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG [IGME/09W/0808] 
Issued: 6:00 PM MANILA TIME (10:00 GMT) SAT 26 JULY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 008
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (IGME) HAS MAINTAINED ITS WEST-SOUTHWEST TRACK
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...OUTER BANDS NOW SPREADING ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHERN LUZON.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FUNG-WONG is expected to turn Westward for the next
24 hours and shall become a Typhoon tomorrow morning. The 2 to 5-day
long-range forecast shows the system turning WNW to NW-ward, reaching
Category 2 monday morning (165 km/hr) while passing to the North of
Batanes Group. FUNG-WONG shall make landfall over Eastern Taiwan, near
or over Hualien City Monday late afternoon & shall cross Central Taiwan
in the evening. It shall move out into Taiwan Strait on early Tuesday
morning, July 29, as a weakened Tropical Storm. FUNG-WONG shall make
its final landfall off Southeastern China Tuesday late afternoon and
cross the rugged terrain of Fujian Province thru Wednesday (July 30).
Complete dissipation is forecast over Zhejiang Province, China on
Thursday afternoon, July 31st. *Alternate Forecast Scenario:
There is a possibilty that FUNG-WONG may continue tracking WSW to
Westward and cross the Batanes Group of Islands or make landfall
over
Southern Taiwan, if the High Pressure Steering Ridge to its
NW
strengthens & become the dominant steering factor.  

+ EFFECTS: FUNG-WONG's strong spiral-cloud circulation continues to
expand & improve over the Northern Philippine Sea. Its western &
southwestern outer rain bands now starting to spread across Extreme
Northern Luzon. Rains and winds of not in excess of 55 km/hr can be
expected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas must seek
higher grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to the anti-
cipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary
measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon is now being
enhanced by TS FUNG-WONG (IGME) and has started to affect the Western
sections of Luzon and Visayas including Metro Manila. Partly Cloudy
to Cloudy skies with possible light to moderate passing rains w/ at
times heavy downpour & SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be
expected. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to
occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying
& flood-prone areas of the affected areas. Strong ITCZ (aka. Monsoon
Trough) affecting the rest of the Philippines bringing scattered
rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon or
evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 26 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 21.3º N...LONGITUDE 126.7º
DISTANCE 1: 495 KM (267
NM) ENE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH 
DISTANCE 2: 615 KM (333 NM) NE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH 
DISTANCE 3: 605 KM (327 NM) SE OF HUALIEN, TAIWAN 
DISTANCE 4: 665 KM (360 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN  
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 982 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 740 KM (400 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 19 FEET (5.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME SAT JULY 26
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#01 - CALAYAN & BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 27 JULY: 21.1N 125.6E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 JULY: 21.5N 124.4E / 130-160 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 JULY: 23.3N 122.0E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 JULY: 25.6N 119.9E / 110-140 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 26 JULY POSITION: 21.3N 127.1E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) FUNG-WONG HAS STEADILY INTENSIFIED OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS WHILE TRACKING GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG
A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE EXTENSION ON THE POLEWARD
SIDE OF THE STORM. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS
CONSOLIDATED, AND SEVERAL RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE PASSES HINT
AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW LEVEL EYE FEATURE
...
(more)

>> FUNG-WONG {pronounced: fang~wang}, meaning: Phoenix (Name of Peak)
   
Name contributed by: Hong Kong, China.

_____________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 26 JULY: 21.5N 126.7E / W @ 15 KPH / 115 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________


RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TS FUNG-WONG (IGME)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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