Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007
Name: TYPHOON FENGSHEN [FRANK/07W/0806]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SUN 22 JUNE 2008
Source: TYPHOON2000 POSITION ESTIMATE / JTWC WARNING #014
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Source: TYPHOON2000 POSITION ESTIMATE / JTWC WARNING #014
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
THE EYE TYPHOON FENGSHEN (FRANK) NOW PASSING OVER CALUMPIT-BOCAUE,
BULACAN AREA...HEADING TOWARDS ANGELES CITY IN PAMPANGA...SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.
Click HERE to view zoom track map!
The system rapidly accelerated and made landfall over Tayabas-Lucena City area early this
morning...a shift on the wind direction blowing from South-SSW is expected, as the Southern
BULACAN AREA...HEADING TOWARDS ANGELES CITY IN PAMPANGA...SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.
Click HERE to view zoom track map!
The system rapidly accelerated and made landfall over Tayabas-Lucena City area early this
morning...a shift on the wind direction blowing from South-SSW is expected, as the Southern
Eyewall approaches Metro Manila any moment from now.
**Based on actual observation, calm conditions have been observed in Quezon City and nearby
**Based on actual observation, calm conditions have been observed in Quezon City and nearby
areas of Metro Manila around 6:00-7:00 AM this morning. This confirms that the cloud-filled EYE
is now over Metro Manila particularly over Quezon City.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FENGSHEN is expected to pass over Bulacan around 8-9 AM
this morning before moving into Angeles-Pampanga area on or before noontime
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FENGSHEN is expected to pass over Bulacan around 8-9 AM
this morning before moving into Angeles-Pampanga area on or before noontime
today. It shall be over Zambales this afternoon.
The sudden Northerly turn of Fengshen was due to the long-awaited weakening
of the high pressure steering ridge located over Taiwan which was supposed
of the high pressure steering ridge located over Taiwan which was supposed
to weaken yesterday..and the development of a peripheral steering ridge
southeast of Fengshen or just to the east of Mindanao.
+ EFFECTS: The Eye of FENGSHEN has become cloud-filled as it passes over
+ EFFECTS: The Eye of FENGSHEN has become cloud-filled as it passes over
Quezon City and Metro Manila...its Southern EyeWall is expected to pass
over Metro Manila between 6-8 AM today. Meanwhile, Its inner bands shall
continue to spread across the Southern Tagalog Provinces, Mindoro, Panay
Island, Bicol Region, Quezon and the whole Central Luzon. Strong winds
of up to 85 km/hr with moderate to heavy rains can be expected along the
inner bands. Meanwhile, whole Northern & Southern Luzon, the whole of
Northern Visayas, and Northern Palawan remains under the effects of
FENGSHEN's outer (rain) bands. Moderate to heavy rains with winds not
exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected tonight. Residents in low-lying areas
must seek higher grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to the
anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary mea-
sures must be implemented today. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 6 to 8
feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering
waves can be expected near and to the north of FRANK's projected path
particularly on where the center makes landfall in Lucena & Batangas
tomorrow morning. Moderate damage is possible on this type of storm
surge. Far-fetched storm surge is possible along coastal areas of
Western & Southern Luzon and Northern Visayas with surf reaching
2-4 feet at most.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
EYEWALL PASSAGE FORECAST TIMES (EPFT):
+ Bulacan-Angeles-
+ Lucena-Batangas-
+ Metro Manila: Ongoing until 11AM today.
Note: The EyeWall - is the ring of rain clouds surrounding the "EYE" of a Typhoon. It is here where the
strongest winds and heaviest rain of a typhoon can be found. EPFT will show what local times on a given
area the most damaging winds and heaviest rainfall could be experienced. EPFT changes everytime a
new warning synopsis is issued. Important: This is only an estimate analysis, do not use this for life
or death decisions.
____________
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 14.8º N...LONGITUDE 120.9º E {Sat Fix}
DISTANCE 1: 25 KM (13 NM) NNW OF QUEZON CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 35 KM (18 NM) NNW OF MANILA, PH
DISTANCE 3: 65 KM (35 NM) EAST OF SUBIC BAY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 55 KM (30 NM) SE OF CLARK, PAMPANGA, PH
DISTANCE 5: 120 KM (65 NM) NW OF LUCENA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 6: 80 KM (43 NM) SSW OF CABANATUAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 7: 150 KM (80 NM) SSE OF DAGUPAN CITY, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PAMPANGA-TARLAC-PANGASINAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 520 KM (280 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 14 FEET (4.2 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 8 AM MANILA TIME SUN JUNE 22
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - Metro Manila, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Lubang
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PAMPANGA-TARLAC-
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 14 FEET (4.2 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 8 AM MANILA TIME SUN JUNE 22
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - Metro Manila, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Lubang
Island, Marinduque, Batangas, Laguna, Cavite, Rizal, Quezon
Province, Polillo Island, Southern Aurora, Nueva Ecija,
Bulacan, Pampanga, Tarlac, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan.
#02 - Calamian Group of Islands, Romblon, Camarines Norte, Rest of
Aurora, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, La Union.
Aurora, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, La Union.
#01 - Northern Palawan, Burias Island, Albay, Camarines Sur,
Southern Isabela, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Ilocos Sur.
Southern Isabela, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Ilocos Sur.
12, 24, 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 22 JUNE: 15.1N 120.4E / 150-185 KPH / NNW @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 23 JUNE: 16.6N 119.6E / 140-165 KPH / NNW @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 24 JUNE: 19.5N 118.5E / 120-150 KPH / N @ 11 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 22 JUNE POSITION: 13.9N 121.5E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 07W HAS WEAKENED 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE
TO LAND INTERACTION. ADDITIONALLY, STARTING AT 21/03Z, THE SYSTEM
SLOWED AND MADE AN ABRUPT TRACK CHANGE FROM A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. TY 07W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 09 HOURS...(more).
>> FENGSHEN {pronounced: feng~shen}, meaning: God of Wind.
Name contributed by: China.
_____________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 22 JUNE POSITION: 13.9N 121.5E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 07W HAS WEAKENED 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE
TO LAND INTERACTION. ADDITIONALLY, STARTING AT 21/03Z, THE SYSTEM
SLOWED AND MADE AN ABRUPT TRACK CHANGE FROM A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. TY 07W HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 09 HOURS...(more).
>> FENGSHEN {pronounced: feng~shen}, meaning: God of Wind.
Name contributed by: China.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 22 JUNE: 14.1N 121.4E / NNW @ 15 KPH / 120 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite and Information Service (http://www.goes.noaa.gov/ )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite and Information Service (http://www.goes.
____________
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY FENGSHEN (FRANK)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY FENGSHEN (FRANK)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
Copyright © 2008 Typhoon2000.
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