Monday, September 17, 2007

Typhoon WIPHA (GORING) - Update #004


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TYPHOON WIPHA [GORING/13W/0712] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 17 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 18 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #009
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON WIPHA (GORING) 
REACHES CATEGORY TWO STATUS AS IT MOVES CLOSER
TO YAEYAMA ISLANDS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: WIPHA is expected to turn NW'ly for the next 24
hours, becoming a Category 3 typhoon tomorrow morning and shall pass over
Yaeyama Islands around 1 to 2 AM HK time...affecting the NE part of Taiwan
later tomorrow afternoon. The 2 to 4-day forecast shows the system reaching
its peak winds of 220-km/hr (Category 4) while starting to initiate a
northward turn along the coast of Southeastern China or just to the East
of Wenzhou, China early morning Wednesday (Sept 19). The core of WIPHA
shall make a partial landfall over the coastal and beach areas of South-
eastern China around 8-9 AM HK Time on Wednesday, Sept 19. It shall then
pass over or very close to Shanghai, China by early Wednesday night around
6-7 PM before exiting back to sea (Yellow Sea) early Thursday morning Sept
20. WIPHA is forecast to make another landfall and this time over North
Korea on Thursday evening, Sept 20. It shall become Extratropical after
crossing the Korean Peninsula on Friday morning, Sept 21

+ EFFECTS: WIPHA's inner rainbands now spreading across the islands of
Yaeyama & Miyako, while its outer rainbands remains over Okinawa and is
now approaching the eastern and northern coasts of Taiwan. Gale-force
winds with light to moderate passing rains can be expected along its
inner bands while, light to moderate winds with intermittent passing
rains can be expected along the outer bands. Coastal Storm Surge floo-
ding of 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and
dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the north of
WIPHA's projected path especially over Yaeyama-Miyako Islands today
until tomorrow. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river
banks, low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected areas. Precau-
tionary measures must be initiated as the typhoon approaches.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate Southwest Monsoon embedded
along
the wet-phase of the
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) continues to be
enhanced by Typhoon WIPHA (GORING) located over the Northern Philippine
Sea. Cloudy skies with light to moderate & sometimes heavy rainfall
caused by thunderstorms & SW'ly winds of 15 km/hr or higher can be ex-
pected along the western sections of Central & Southern Luzon including
Metro Manila & Bicol Region and Visayas becoming more intense along Min-
doro, Batangas, Palawan & Calamian Group, Romblon, Lubang & Corregidor
Islands and the Western portions of Panay and Negros Islands including
Boracay and Guimaras. Landslides and flooding is likely to occur along
steep mountain slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of
the affected areas.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 23.2º N...LONGITUDE 126.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 525 KM (285
NM) NE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 410 KM (222 NM) SW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 510 KM (275 NM) ESE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 956 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: YAEYAMA ISLANDS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVG/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 27 FEET (8.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JAPAN TIME MON SEPTEMBER 17
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 24.1N 124.7E / 195-240 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 25.8N 123.1E / 220-270 KPH / NNW @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 30.3N 121.7E / 195-240 KPH / NNE @ 30 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 22.9N 126.7E.
^TYPHOON (TY) WIPHA HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS,
ALTHOUGH SOME SUPPRESSION OF CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED OVER THE NORTH-
WESTERN QUADRANT. THE STORM HAS TRACKED ON THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF JAPAN TOWARD
THE RYUKYU ISLANDS...(more)

>> WIPHA {pronounced: wee~faa}, meaning: Name of woman

   Name contributed by: Thailand.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 23.0N 126.7E / WNW @ 17 KPH / 140 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY WIPHA (GORING)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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