Sunday, September 02, 2007

Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #004


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SUN 02 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) MON 03 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #017
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TYPHOON FITOW (10W) WEAKENS ANEW DUE TO CONTINUED ENTRAIN-
MENT OF DRIER AIR AROUND ITS CIRCULATION
...DRIFTING SOUTH-
WESTWARD.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FITOW is expected to resume its Westward
track after 6 hours and turn WNW Tuesday morning. The 3 to
5-day forecast shows the system reaching its peak winds of
165 km/hr (Cat 2) before turning more NW'ly in the direction
of Southern Japan. FITOW shall start turning more poleward
(north) early Thursday morning (Sept 6), approaching the
coast of Southern Honshu in the evening. It shall make land-
fall just to the southeast of Tokyo on early Friday morning,
Sept 7 (approx 4 AM Japan Time)


+ EFFECTS: FITOW is currently not affecting any Pacific
Islands at this time
.

+ TROPICAL STORM WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/1006 MB)
over the South China Sea has moved WNW during the past 12 hours
and is now over the central part of South China Sea...estimated
about 565 km NW of Baguio City (19.0N 116.0E). With sustained
winds of 25 km/hr...moving WNW @ 19 kph. This disturbance
will be closely monitored for further development.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 02 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 27.7º N...LONGITUDE 150.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 925 KM (500
NM) ENE OF IWO TO
DISTANCE 2: 1,320 KM (712 NM) SE OF TOKYO
DISTANCE 3: 2,180 KM (1,177 NM) ENE OF OKINAWA
DISTANCE 4: 3,030 KM (1,635 NM) NE OF NORTHERN LUZON, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 970 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: SW @ 09 KM/HR (05 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 27 FEET (8.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME SUN SEPTEMBER 02
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 SEPTEMBER: 27.4N 149.1E / 130-160 KPH / W @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 03 SEPTEMBER: 27.5N 147.4E / 140-165 KPH / W @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 04 SEPTEMBER: 28.0N 144.0E / 160-195 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 02 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 27.8N 150.3E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 10W (FITOW) HAS TRACKED TO THE SOUTHWEST
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, ON THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A
RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF JAPAN. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED ON
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER
THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE INCREASED CONVECTION IS LIKELY BEING
AIDED BY A DEVELOPING TUTT CELL NORTHEAST OF TY 10W, WHICH IS
INCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW
...(more)

>> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
   beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Malaysia.
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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