Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO [15W/0713]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 24 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 25 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 25 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO (15W) IS NOW OVER THE NORTHERN TIP OF HAINAN...
SHALL EXIT INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN TONIGHT AND MAKE LANDFALL OVERNORTHERN VIETNAM TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FRANCISCO is expected to move back to sea or off the
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: FRANCISCO is expected to move back to sea or off the
Gulf of Tonkin tonight and shall make landfall over Northern Vietnam tomo-
rrow afternoon (approx 2-3 PM HK time). It is forecast to pass South of
Hanoi early tomorrow evening and dissipate Wednesday (Sept 26) while moving
across the mountainous terrain of Northern Vietnam.
+ EFFECTS: FRANCISCO's rain bands continues to spread across Western Hainan,
+ EFFECTS: FRANCISCO's rain bands continues to spread across Western Hainan,
Gulf of Tonkin and the coastal areas of Western & Southwestern portions of
Guangdong Province and Northern Vietnam and Laos. Strong winds and rains
can be expected throughout the evening until tomorrow.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest Monsoon embedded along the statio-
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest Monsoon embedded along the statio-
nary wet-phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is currently being
enhanced by TS FRANCISCO centered near Hainan Island in the NW South China
Sea. This monsoon system will continue to bring cloudy skies with light
to moderate to sometimes heavy rainfall & SW'ly winds of 15 km/hr or higher
along Luzon becoming more frequent over the Western Sections including
Metro Manila Zambales, Subic Bay & Ilocos Provinces. Landslides and floo-
ding is likely to occur along steep mountain slopes, river banks, low-
lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 24 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.9º N...LONGITUDE 110.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 30 KM (16 NM) WSW OF HAIKOU, HAINAN IS., CHINA
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 24 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.9º N...LONGITUDE 110.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 30 KM (16 NM) WSW OF HAIKOU, HAINAN IS., CHINA
DISTANCE 2: 70 KM (38 NM) NE OF DANZHOU, HAINAN IS., CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 160 KM (85 NM) SSW OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA
DISTANCE 4: 465 KM (252 NM) ESE OF HANOI, VIETNAM
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 989 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: GULF OF TONKIN-NORTHERN VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVG-LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM HK TIME MON SEPTEMBER 24
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 SEPTEMBER: 19.9N 108.5E / 75-95 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 25 SEPTEMBER: 20.3N 106.5E / 65-85 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 24 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 19.9N 110.6E.
^...(more)
>> FRANCISCO {pronounced: FRAN~cis~co}
Name contributed by: USA.
____________
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS FRANCISCO (15W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS FRANCISCO (15W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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