Monday, September 17, 2007

Typhoon WIPHA (GORING) - Update #003


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TYPHOON WIPHA [GORING/13W/0712] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 17 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 17 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #007
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
WIPHA (GORING) 
CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY...BECOMES THE NINTH
TYPHOON OF 2007...THREATENS SENKAKU ISLANDS AND SOUTHEASTERN CHINA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: WIPHA is expected to continue moving WNW to
NW'ly for the next 24 hours, becoming a Category 3 typhoon tomorrow
morning as it passes over Senkaku Islands. The 2 to 4-day forecast
shows the system reaching its peak winds of 220-km/hr (Category 4)
while starting to initiate a northward turn along the coast of
Southeastern China or just to the East of Wenzhou, China early
morning Wednesday (Sept 19). The core of WIPHA shall make landfall
over Southeastern China around 9-10 AM HK Time on Wednesday, Sept
19. It shall then pass very close to Shanghai, China by early Thurs-
day morning around 2-3 AM before exiting back to sea (Yellow Sea)

+ EFFECTS: WIPHA's outer rain bands now reaching the islands of
Senkaku. Light to moderate winds with passing rains can be expected
along these bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above
normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves
can be expected near and to the north of WIPHA's projected path es-
pecially over Senkaku Islands today. Flash floods and mudslides are
imminent along river banks, low-lying and mountainous regions of the
affected areas. Precautionary measures must be initiated as the
typhoon approaches.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate Southwest Monsoon embedded
along
the wet-phase of the
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) continues to be
enhanced by Typhoon WIPHA (GORING) located over the Northern Phili-
ppine Sea. Cloudy skies with light to moderate & sometimes heavy
rainfall caused by thunderstorms & SW'ly winds of 15 km/hr or higher
can be expected along the western sections of Central & Southern Luzon
including Metro Manila & Bicol Region and Visayas. Landslides and
flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain slopes, river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 22.3º N...LONGITUDE 128.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 675 KM (365
NM) ENE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 465 KM (250 NM) SOUTH OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 735 KM (397 NM) ESE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SENKAKU ISLANDS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVG/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME MON SEPTEMBER 17
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 23.3N 126.6E / 160-195 KPH / NW @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 24.5N 124.8E / 185-230 KPH / NW @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 27.5N 121.9E / 220-270 KPH / NNW @ 17 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 22.0N 128.7E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) WIPHA HAS BEEN SLOW TO ORGANIZE, DUE TO A
SMALL TUTT CELL TO ITS NORTH WHICH HAS SUPPRESSED CONVECTION
OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). THE STORM HAS BEEN SLOWLY TRACKING WESTWARD AS IT CONTINUES
TO CONSOLIDATE. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM
IS PROVIDING EXCELLENT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW
...(more)

>> WIPHA {pronounced: wee~faa}, meaning: Name of woman

   Name contributed by: Thailand.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 17 SEPTEMBER: 21.9N 128.7E / NW @ 19 KPH / 110 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TY WIPHA (GORING)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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