Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Super Typhoon WIPHA (GORING) - Update #005

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005
Name: SUPER TYPHOON WIPHA [GORING/13W/0712] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 18 SEPTEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 18 SEPTEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #011
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
  
WIPHA (GORING) 
BECOMES THE THIRD SUPER TYPHOON OF 2007...NOW LASHING THE
ISLANDS OF YAEYAMA AS ITS CLEAR-DEFINED EYE PASSES BY...ENDANGERS NOR-
THERN TAIWAN AND SOUTHEASTERN CHINA...STORM WARNING SIGNAL NUMBER ONE
HOISTED ALONG BATANES. 

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: WIPHA is expected to continue moving WNW for the
next 12 hours and its core shall pass about 90 km. to the north of
Taipei, Taiwan around 4 PM HK Time. The Eye of WIPHA shall make land-
fall over the coastal and beach areas of Southeastern China between
5 to 6 AM tomorrow morning - passing close to Wenzhou City, China. It
shall then pass over or close to the West of Shanghai, China by late
Wednesday afternoon between 5 to 6 PM before exiting back to sea (Ye-
llow Sea) early Thursday morning. The 2 to 3-day forecast depicts WIPHA
moving across the Yellow Sea and shall make another landfall and this
time over North Korea on Thursday evening, Sept 20. It shall become
Extratropical after crossing the Korean Peninsula on Friday, Sept 21. 

+ EFFECTS: WIPHA's core (eyewall & eye) is now passing over Yaeyama
Islands and is expected to reach Northern Taiwan this afternoon. Its
inner rainbands spreading across Northern Taiwan, while its outer
rainbands remains over Okinawa and along Taiwan. Typhoon-force winds
with moderate to very heavy rains can be expected along the eyewall,
while gale-force winds with light to moderate passing rains can be ex-
pected along its inner band with decreasing intensity along its outer
bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected
near and to the north of WIPHA's projected path especially over Yaeya-
ma-Miyako Islands, Northern Taiwan & Southeastern China today. Flash
floods and mudslides are imminent along river banks, low-lying and
mountainous regions of the affected areas. Precautionary measures
must be initiated as the powerful typhoon approaches.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to slightly strong Southwest
Monsoon embedded along the wet-phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
(MJO) continues to be enhanced by powerful Typhoon WIPHA (GORING) lo-
cated over the Northernmost Philippine Sea. Cloudy skies with light to
moderate & sometimes heavy rainfall caused by thunderstorms & SW'ly
winds of 15 km/hr or higher can be expected along the western sections
of Southern Luzon, Bicol Region and Visayas becoming more intense along
Mindoro, Batangas, Palawan & Calamian Group, Romblon and the Western
portions of Panay and Negros Islands including Boracay and Guimaras.
Landslides and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain slopes,
river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 24.3º N...LONGITUDE 124.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 255 KM (138 NM) ESE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 2: 470 KM (255 NM) NNE OF BASCO, BATANES
DISTANCE 3: 525 KM (285 NM) SE OF WENZHOU, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 240 KM/HR (130 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 295 KM/HR (160 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 926 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN TAIWAN-SOUTHEASTERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 775 KM (420 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 36 FEET (10.9 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME TUE SEPTEMBER 18
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 25.4N 122.4E / 240-295 KPH / NNW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 27.4N 121.1E / 215-260 KPH / N @ 28 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 33.6N 122.0E / 100-130 KPH / NNE @ 39 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 23.9N 124.5E.
^TYPHOON (TY) WIPHA HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS,
ALTHOUGH POLEWARD OUTFLOW REMAINS RELATIVELY WEAK. THE OUTFLOW CHANNEL
TO THE EAST HAS LINKED TO THE TUTT CELL NEAR THE MARIANAS ISLANDS.
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW REMAINS STRONG AS WELL...(more)

>> WIPHA {pronounced: wee~faa}, meaning: Name of woman. 
   Name contributed by: Thailand.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 18 SEPTEMBER: 23.8N 124.3E / WNW @ 19 KPH / 175 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
   http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________
 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on STY WIPHA (GORING)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
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Posted by MJ Klein at 08:57

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