for Tuesday, 23 March 2010 [6:40 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon March 22 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS 02W.
02W (TWO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 02W [UNNAMED]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Tue 23 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #005
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
02W (UNNAMED) is now a Tropical Storm as it accelerates WNW closer to Yap-Ulithi Islands...estimated to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning.
*Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 02W.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Tue Mar 23 2010
Location of Center: 9.6º N Lat 139.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 155 km (83 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 2: 495 km (267 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 610 km (330 nm) ENE of Palau, FSM
Distance 4: 1,535 km (830 nm) ESE of Northern Mindanao
Distance 5: 1,705 km (920 nm) ESE of Bicol Region
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 150 mm [Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Towards: Yap-Ulithi Area
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Tue Mar 23
+ Forecast Outlook: 02W is expected to continue moving WNW to NW-ward within the next 2 days, passing close to Yap Island this afternoon w/ forecast wind speeds of 75 kph [2PM MAR 23: 10.1N 138.4E]. The system is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR) by tomorrow morning as a moderate Tropical Storm (85 kph) and will move into the Philippine Sea [2PM MAR 24: 12.3N 134.2E]. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 02W maintaining its strength (85 kph) as it begins to track NW to NNW slowly on Friday [2AM MAR 26: 14.6N 131.3E] before losing strength on Saturday while over the Central Philippine Sea or about 720 km NE of Bicol Region [2AM MAR 27: 15.9N 130.7E]. On Sunday, 02W will be downgraded into a Tropical Depression and eventually dissipate over the Central Philippine Sea, about 830 km East of Northern Luzon -- due to unfavorable atmospheric environment (eg. increased upper-level winds) [2AM MAR 28: 17.2N 130.2E]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 02W's rainbands continues to affect the islands of Yap & Ulithi...Moderate to heavy rains w/ squalls can be expected today. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 150 mm (moderate rain) near the center of 02W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Yap & Ulithi. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Western Micronesia.
+ Current Monsoon Trough (ITCZ) Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with passing isolated showers & thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: PARTS OF VISAYAS & MINDANAO. Light to moderate easterly to variable winds (not in excess of 40 kph) can be expected along these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS 02W (UNNAMED)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0210.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 23 MARCH: 10.1N 138.4E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 24 MARCH: 11.1N 136.3E / 75-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 MARCH: 13.4N 132.4E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / NW @ 07 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon March 22 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS 02W.
02W (TWO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 02W [UNNAMED]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Tue 23 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #005
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 02W.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PhT Tue Mar 23 2010
Location of Center: 9.6º N Lat 139.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 155 km (83 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 2: 495 km (267 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 610 km (330 nm) ENE of Palau, FSM
Distance 4: 1,535 km (830 nm) ESE of Northern Mindanao
Distance 5: 1,705 km (920 nm) ESE of Bicol Region
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 150 mm [Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
Towards: Yap-Ulithi Area
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PhT Tue Mar 23
+ Forecast Outlook: 02W is expected to continue moving WNW to NW-ward within the next 2 days, passing close to Yap Island this afternoon w/ forecast wind speeds of 75 kph [2PM MAR 23: 10.1N 138.4E]. The system is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR) by tomorrow morning as a moderate Tropical Storm (85 kph) and will move into the Philippine Sea [2PM MAR 24: 12.3N 134.2E]. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 02W maintaining its strength (85 kph) as it begins to track NW to NNW slowly on Friday [2AM MAR 26: 14.6N 131.3E] before losing strength on Saturday while over the Central Philippine Sea or about 720 km NE of Bicol Region [2AM MAR 27: 15.9N 130.7E]. On Sunday, 02W will be downgraded into a Tropical Depression and eventually dissipate over the Central Philippine Sea, about 830 km East of Northern Luzon -- due to unfavorable atmospheric environment (eg. increased upper-level winds) [2AM MAR 28: 17.2N 130.2E]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 02W's rainbands continues to affect the islands of Yap & Ulithi...Moderate to heavy rains w/ squalls can be expected today. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 150 mm (moderate rain) near the center of 02W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS 02W (UNNAMED)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0210.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 23 MARCH: 10.1N 138.4E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 24 MARCH: 11.1N 136.3E / 75-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 MARCH: 13.4N 132.4E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / NW @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 26 MARCH: 14.6N 131.3E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / NNW @ 07 KPH
REMARKS (for Meteorologists)
*ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND A 221628Z AMSR-E
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS THE MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. THIS MICROWAVE IMAGE ALONG
WITH ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WAS USED FOR THE INITIAL
POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS BASED ON PGTW DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES DIVERGENCE
ALOFT IS PROVIDING GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AND TS 02W IS LOCATED
EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) AXIS IN AN AREA OF LOW TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). TS 02W WILL CONTINUE TRACKING ON
THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STR UNTIL TAU 72. AT THAT TIME, AN
UPPER LEVEL, MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN THE STR AND ALLOW TS
02W TO TURN NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGH TAU 72 WHEN THE DEEPENING TROUGH WILL CAUSE AN INCREASE IN
VWS AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. NEARLY ALL THE DYNAMICAL AIDS,
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF EGRR AND GFDN, HINT AT WEAK RECURVATURE. GFS
AND NOGAPS ARE THE ONLY TRACKERS THAT COMPLETE A CLASSIC RECURVATURE
INTO THE MID-LATITUDES. IT IS LIKELY THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DISSIPATE
DUE TO SHEAR BEFORE RECURVATURE CAN OCCUR...
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
* - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS 02W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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