for Tuesday, 23 March 2010 [12:39 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon March 22 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS 02W (Pre-AGATON).
02W (TWO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 02W [PRE-AGATON]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 004
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Tue 23 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #005
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
Tropical Storm 02W (PRE-AGATON) slows down as it approaches Yap-Ulithi Islands...Rains and winds occurring.
*Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 02W.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Tue Mar 23 2010
Location of Center: 9.7º N Lat 139.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 110 km (60 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 2: 450 km (243 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 570 km (308 nm) NE of Palau, FSM
Distance 4: 1,490 km (805 nm) East of Northern Mindanao
Distance 5: 1,660 km (897 nm) ESE of Bicol Region
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 150 mm [Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: WNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Yap-Ulithi Area
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Tue Mar 23
+ Forecast Outlook: 02W is expected to continue moving WNW to NW-ward within the next 2 days, passing close to Yap Island this afternoon, and is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR) by tomorrow morning towards the Philippine Sea [8AM MAR 24: 11.8N 135.2E]. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 02W reaching peak strength of 85 kph as it begins turning North on Friday - in response to a passing cold front off Okinawa [8AM MAR 26: 15.9N 131.2E...about 775 km NE of Bicol Region]. 02W will continue to move slowly Northward as it weakens into a Tropical Depression on Sunday about 950 km East of Northern Luzon - due to unfavorable atmospheric environment (eg. increased upper-level winds, cooler SST) [8AM MAR 28: 17.8N 131.2E]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 02W's rainbands continues to affect the islands of Yap & Ulithi...rains & winds w/ heavy squalls can be expected today. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 150 mm (moderate rain) near the center of 02W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Yap & Ulithi. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Western Micronesia.
+ Current Monsoon Trough (ITCZ) Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with passing isolated showers & thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: PARTS OF VISAYAS & MINDANAO. Light to moderate easterly to variable winds (not in excess of 40 kph) can be expected along these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS 02W (UNNAMED)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0210.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
8 PM (12 GMT) 23 MARCH: 10.7N 137.4E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 24 MARCH: 11.8N 135.2E / 75-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 20 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 25 MARCH: 13.9N 132.1E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / NNW @ 09 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon March 22 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS 02W (Pre-AGATON)
02W (TWO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 02W [PRE-AGATON]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 004
12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Tue 23 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #005
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 02W.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Tue Mar 23 2010
Location of Center: 9.7º N Lat 139.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 110 km (60 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 2: 450 km (243 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 570 km (308 nm) NE of Palau, FSM
Distance 4: 1,490 km (805 nm) East of Northern Mindanao
Distance 5: 1,660 km (897 nm) ESE of Bicol Region
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 150 mm [Moderate]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: WNW @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Yap-Ulithi Area
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 ft (4.2 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Tue Mar 23
+ Forecast Outlook: 02W is expected to continue moving WNW to NW-ward within the next 2 days, passing close to Yap Island this afternoon, and is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR) by tomorrow morning towards the Philippine Sea [8AM MAR 24: 11.8N 135.2E]. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows 02W reaching peak strength of 85 kph as it begins turning North on Friday - in response to a passing cold front off Okinawa [8AM MAR 26: 15.9N 131.2E...about 775 km NE of Bicol Region]. 02W will continue to move slowly Northward as it weakens into a Tropical Depression on Sunday about 950 km East of Northern Luzon - due to unfavorable atmospheric environment (eg. increased upper-level winds, cooler SST) [8AM MAR 28: 17.8N 131.2E]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 02W's rainbands continues to affect the islands of Yap & Ulithi...rains & winds w/ heavy squalls can be expected today. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 150 mm (moderate rain) near the center of 02W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS 02W (UNNAMED)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0210.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
8 PM (12 GMT) 23 MARCH: 10.7N 137.4E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 24 MARCH: 11.8N 135.2E / 75-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 20 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 25 MARCH: 13.9N 132.1E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / NNW @ 09 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 26 MARCH: 15.9N 131.2E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / N @ 05 KPH
REMARKS (for Meteorologists)
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND A 222259Z
TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND
FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
BASED ON THIS MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON
PGTW, RJTD, AND KNES DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. TS 02W
REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) AXIS
WITH UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE PROVIDING GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, BUT ALSO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WHICH IS LIMITING DEVELOPMENT.
TS 02W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE (SR)...(more)
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
* - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS 02W (PRE-AGATON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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