for Tuesday, 23 March 2010 [6:38 PM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon March 22 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS 02W (Pre-AGATON).
02W (TWO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 02W [PRE-AGATON]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Tue 23 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
Tropical Storm 02W (PRE-AGATON) has just passed north of Yap Island early this afternoon...now moving away towards the Philippine Sea.
*Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 02W.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Tue Mar 23 2010
Location of Center: 10.9º N Lat 137.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 170 km (92 nm) NNW of Yap, FSM
Distance 2: 275 km (148 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,280 km (690 nm) ENE of Northern Mindanao
Distance 4: 1,310 km (707 nm) ESE of Samar
Distance 5: 1,460 km (788 nm) ESE of Bicol Region
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 150-180 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: WNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Towards: Philippine Sea
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PhT Tue Mar 23
+ Forecast Outlook: 02W is expected to continue moving WNW to NW-ward within the next 2 days, entering the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR) tomorrow morning and will track towards the Central Philippine Sea in the afternoon [2PM MAR 24: 12.6N 134.3E]. The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows 02W turning northerly across the Northern Philippine Sea, weakening into a Depression on Friday [2PM MAR 26: 16.2N 131.7E...about 840 km NE of Bicol Region], & dissipating on Saturday afternoon [2PM MAR 27: 16.9N 131.9E...about 1,000 km East of Northern Luzon] due to unfavorable atmospheric environment (eg. increased upper-level winds, cooler SST). Majority of global forecast models agree on this scenario. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 02W's rainbands has moved away from Yap and Ulithi Islands. Storm warnings across these islands are now lifted. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 110 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 120 to 180 mm (moderate to heavy rain) near the center of 02W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Yap & Ulithi. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Western Micronesia.
+ Current Monsoon Trough (ITCZ) Intensity: LIGHT >> Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with passing isolated showers & thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: PARTS OF VISAYAS & MINDANAO. Light to moderate easterly to variable winds (not in excess of 40 kph) can be expected along these areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS 02W (PRE-AGATON)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0210.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 AM (18 GMT) 24 MARCH: 11.3N 136.5E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 MARCH: 12.6N 134.3E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / NW @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 25 MARCH: 14.9N 131.9E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / N @ 05 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon March 22 2010):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TS 02W (Pre-AGATON)
02W (TWO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM 02W [PRE-AGATON]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 005
6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Tue 23 March 2010
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
*Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 02W.
*Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
Current Storm Information
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Tue Mar 23 2010
Location of Center: 10.9º N Lat 137.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 170 km (92 nm) NNW of Yap, FSM
Distance 2: 275 km (148 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 3: 1,280 km (690 nm) ENE of Northern Mindanao
Distance 4: 1,310 km (707 nm) ESE of Samar
Distance 5: 1,460 km (788 nm) ESE of Bicol Region
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 150-180 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
Present Movement: WNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Towards: Philippine Sea
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0-3 feet [0-0.9 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PhT Tue Mar 23
+ Forecast Outlook: 02W is expected to continue moving WNW to NW-ward within the next 2 days, entering the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR) tomorrow morning and will track towards the Central Philippine Sea in the afternoon [2PM MAR 24: 12.6N 134.3E]. The 3 to 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows 02W turning northerly across the Northern Philippine Sea, weakening into a Depression on Friday [2PM MAR 26: 16.2N 131.7E...about 840 km NE of Bicol Region], & dissipating on Saturday afternoon [2PM MAR 27: 16.9N 131.9E...about 1,000 km East of Northern Luzon] due to unfavorable atmospheric environment (eg. increased upper-level winds, cooler SST). Majority of global forecast models agree on this scenario. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.
+ Effects & Hazards: 02W's rainbands has moved away from Yap and Ulithi Islands. Storm warnings across these islands are now lifted. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 110 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 120 to 180 mm (moderate to heavy rain) near the center of 02W. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
External Links for TS 02W (PRE-AGATON)
View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0210.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 4-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 AM (18 GMT) 24 MARCH: 11.3N 136.5E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 24 MARCH: 12.6N 134.3E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / NW @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 25 MARCH: 14.9N 131.9E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / N @ 05 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 26 MARCH: 16.2N 131.7E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / NNE @ 04 KPH
REMARKS (for Meteorologists)
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND A 222259Z
TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING AROUND
FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
BASED ON THIS MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON
PGTW, RJTD, AND KNES DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. TS 02W
REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) AXIS
WITH UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE PROVIDING GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, BUT ALSO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), WHICH IS LIMITING DEVELOPMENT.
TS 02W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE (SR)...(more)
____________
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html )____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.
NOTE:
* - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS 02W (PRE-AGATON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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