Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon KUJIRA (DANTE)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004 **FINAL**

Name: TYPHOON KUJIRA [DANTE/01W/0901]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) TUE 05 MAY 2009
Source: US JTWC WARNING #012/T2K XTRAPOLATION
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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KUJIRA (DANTE) BECOMES THE FIRST TYPHOON OF THE 2009 SEASON...ALREADY

REACHED ITS PEAK OF 215 KM/HR 12 HOURS AGO...NOW WANING IN STRENGTH

AS IT HEADS EAST-NORTHEAST CLOSER TO IWO TO AND CHICHI JIMA ISLANDS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KUJIRA is expected to continue accelerating NNE to

NE-ward in the direction of the Philippine Sea. The 2 to 5-day Long Range

Forecast still shows KUJIRA accelerating NE to ENE away from Bicol and

the Philippines but intensiying to 110 kph.

+ EFFECTS: KUJIRA's main circulation has become disorganized. Outer and

inner rainbands, eye and its eyewall remains intact but is not affecting

any islands at this time. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200

mm is possible along its rain bands.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) TUE 05 MAY 2009
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 17.9º N...LONGITUDE 133.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 1,270 KM (685 NM) EAST OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 240 KM/HR (130 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY 3
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 9-12 FEET (2.7-3.9 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 944 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 30 KM/HR (28 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKMAP (FOR PUBLIC): 12 PM PST MON MAY 04
VIEW JTWC TRACKMAP (FOR SHIPPING): 06Z TUE MAY 05
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NOW LOWERED

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 05 MAY: 19.2N 135.5E / 195-240 KPH / NE @ 37 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 06 MAY: 21.8N 138.8E / 160-195 KPH / NE @ 45 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 07 MAY: 29.6N 146.5E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 50 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 08 MAY: 37.9N 154.8E / 85-100 KPH / -- @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 05 MAY POSITION: 17.5N 132.7E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 01W (KUJIRA) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 06
HOURS AFTER FORMING A SMALL, ROUND EYE AND PEAKING IN INTENSITY
DURING THE EARLY MORNING NEAR 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 042051Z SSMI/S IMAGE SHOW THAT THE EYE HAS
FILLED WITH A SMALL (120 NM DIAMETER) SYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE MASS WITH
NO CONVECTIVE BANDING. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO
SHOW STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH, HOWEVER, THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH HAS STARTED
IMPINGING ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. THERE IS GOOD
CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION BASED ON STRONG CORE CONVECTION
EVIDENT IN VISIBLE IMAGERY...(more)

>> KUJIRA, meaning: Cetus; Whale. Name contributed by: Japan.
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 10 AM (02 GMT) 05 MAY: 17.9N 132.9E / ENE @ 22 KPH / 130 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY KUJIRA (DANTE)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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