Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD DANTE drifting NE towards Catanduanes... [Update #002]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANTE [94W]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) SAT 02 MAY 2009
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #004/JTWC SATFIX/T2K XTRAPOLATION
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANTE (94W) HAS STARTED TO DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD

AFTER REMAINING QUASI-STATIONARY OVER SORSOGON LAST NIGHT UNTIL

EARLY THIS MORNING...NOW OFF THE EAST COAST OF SORSOGON. MODERATE

TO HEAVY RAINS PREVAILING ACROSS SOUTHERN BICOL PARTICULARLY

MASBATE, BURIAS-TICAO ISLANDS, ALBAY & SORSOGON.

*Residents and visitors along Bicol Region, Southern Luzon and Northern Visayas should closely
monitor the progress of DANTE.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: DANTE is now expected to take a slow NE to NNE drift

for the next 12 to 24 hours, passing near the east coast of Catanduanes

tonight. The 2 to 3-day Medium Range Forecast now shows DANTE accelerating

ENE following the path of another system (Tropical Disturbance 95/LPA)

WNW of Guam which has been moving Northward.

+ EFFECTS: DANTE's strong circulation continues to bring moderate to heavy

rains with passing strong squalls (aka. "Subasko") across the Bicol Region

...becoming more frequent over Sorsogon, Albay, Catanduanes and islands of

Burias and Ticao. Catanduanes will feel the brunt of DANTE late this after-

noon and tonight. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm is po-

ssible along its rain bands. The Digital Rain Gauge at the T2K Weather

Station has recorded 36-hr rainfall accumlations of 222.0 mm (12 AM May 1

to 12 PM May 2)...Barometer is at 1006.2 hPa. An Automated Weather Station

in Ticao Island, Masbate has recorded West Wind reaching 50 kph today.

People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan

Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS

(LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay

alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this system are likely to

affect the area today. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must

remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods,

mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by

this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) SAT 02 MAY 2009
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 13.1º N...LONGITUDE 124.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 55 KM (30 NM) EAST OF SORSOGON CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 65 KM (35 NM) SSE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH
DISTANCE 3: 85 KM (45 NM) EAST OF LEGAZPI CITY, PH

DISTANCE 4: 70 KM (38 NM) NNW OF CATARMAN, NORTHERN SAMAR, PH

DISTANCE 5: 125 KM (67 NM) ESE OF IRIGA CITY, PH

DISTANCE 6: 150 KM (80 NM) ESE OF NAGA CITY, PH

DISTANCE 7: 205 KM (110 NM) SE OF DAET, CAMARINES NORTE, PH

DISTANCE 8: 405 KM (218 NM) SE OF METRO MANILA, PH

MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 70 KM/HR (38 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METER)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 04 KM/HR (02 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: COASTAL CATANDUANES
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 08 FEET (2.4 METERS)
VIEW PAGASA TRACKING MAP: 10 AM MANILA TIME SAT MAY 02

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:

#01 - CAMARINES SUR, CAMARINES NORTE, ALBAY, SORSOGON, CATANDUANES,
MASBATE, BURIAS & TICAO ISLANDS, SOUTHERN QUEZON & NORTHERN SAMAR.

24, 48 & 72 HR. PAGASA FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 03 MAY: 13.0N 124.4E

8 AM (00 GMT) 04 MAY: 13.2N 124.4E

8 AM (00 GMT) 05 MAY: 13.3N 124.5E

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 02 MAY POSITION: 12.8N 124.4E.

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RECENT PAGASA TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)

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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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