Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon CHAN-HOM (EMONG) makes landfall... [Update #003]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003

Name: TYPHOON CHAN-HOM [EMONG/02W/0902]

Issued: 1:00 AM MANILA TIME (17:00 GMT) FRI 08 MAY 2009
Source: US JTWC WARNING #017/T2K XTRAPOLATION
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for supplemental information purposes only.

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TYPHOON CHAN-HOM (EMONG) RAPIDLY ACCELERATED AND MADE LANDFALL EARLIER

THAN EXPECTED OVER LA UNION...QUICKLY LOSING STRENGTH AS IT TRAVERSES

CORDILLERA MOUNTAINS...NOW OFF IFUGAO.

*Residents and visitors along Isabela and Cagayan should closely monitor the progress of CHAN-HOM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CHAN-HOM is expected to move into Isabela province
after midnight...and shall move out into the Philippine Sea, exiting

via Palanan Bay, Isabela this Friday morning. It shall gradually weaken

into a weak Tropical Storm.

+ EFFECTS: CHAN-HOM's disorganized circulation currently crossing the

Cordilleras...Its rainbands will continue to spread rains and winds

across Northern & Central Luzon...Outer bands continues to spread

across the whole of Luzon including Metro Manila and Bicol Region..

expected to bring moderate to heavy rains with winds & squalls plus

thunderstorms. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm can

be along the storm's rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up

to 300 mm near the center of CHAN-HOM. Residents in low-lying areas

& steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-

threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated

heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must

be initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (NE) Monsoon temporarily

enhanced by CHAN-HOM continues to affect Western Visayas and Palawan

tonight, as the system moves crosses Northern Luzon. Cloudy skies with

possible passing drizzle to occasional rains and thunderstorms/squalls

w/ SW'ly winds not exceeding 50 km/hr is possible on these areas begi-

nning today until Saturday. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows

(lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along

steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone

areas of the affected areas. Meanwhile, I.T.C.Z (aka. Monsoon Trough)

affecting parts of Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao. It shall bring wide-

spread scattered rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the

afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 12:00 AM MANILA TIME (16:00 GMT) FRI 08 MAY 2009
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 17.0º N...LONGITUDE 121.3º E
DISTANCE 1: OVER IFUGAO-MT. PROVINCE BORDER
DISTANCE 2: 80 KM (43 NM) SW OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 100 KM (55 NM) NE OF BAGUIO CITY, PH

DISTANCE 4: 155 KM (83 NM) NE OF DAGUPAN CITY, PH

DISTANCE 5: 115 KM (63 NM) SE OF VIGAN CITY, PH

DISTANCE 6: 125 KM (67 NM) NW OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH

DISTANCE 7: 280 KM (150 NM) NORTH OF MANILA, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ISABELA-CAGAYAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVG/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKMAP (FOR PUBLIC): 8 PM PST THU MAY 07
VIEW JTWC TRACKMAP (FOR SHIPPING): 12Z THU MAY 07
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:

#03 - PANGASINAN, NORTHERN ZAMBALES, TARLAC, NUEVA VIZCAYA, BENGUET,
      LA UNION, ILOCOS PROVINCES, IFUGAO, MT. PROVINCE, KALINGA,
      APAYAO, AND ABRA.
#02 - REST OF ZAMBALES, PAMPANGA, NUEVA ECIJA, QUIRINO, ISABELA,
      CAGAYAN, BABUYAN AND BATANES.
#01 - METRO MANILA, LUBANG ISLAND, BATAAN, BULACAN, CAVITE, RIZAL,
      NORTHERN QUEZON, AND AURORA.

12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 08 MAY: 17.0N 121.4E / 95-120 KPH / NE @ 15 KPH

8 PM (12 GMT) 08 MAY: 17.7N 122.8E / 65-85 KPH / NE @ 15 KPH

REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 07 MAY POSITION: 16.5N 120.2E.
^...(more)

>> CHAN-HOM, meaning: A kind of tree. Name contributed by: Lao PDR.
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 10 PM (14 GMT) 07 MAY: 16.7N 120.4E / NE @ 19 KPH / 150 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:

> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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