Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon NEOGURI (AMBO) lashing Eastern Hainan... [Update #006]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007

Name: TYPHOON NEOGURI [AMBO/02W/0801]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) FRI 18 APRIL 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 018
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TYPHOON NEOGURI (AMBO) HAS STARTED LOSING STRENGTH AS IT PASSES VERY

CLOSE TO THE EASTERN SHORELINE OF HAINAN...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY

RAINS POUNDING THE ISLAND...AIMING TOWARDS WESTERN GUANGDONG.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: NEOGURI is expected to continue moving Northerly

passing very close to the northeastern coast of Hainan late tonightt.

The core (eye & eyewall) shall weaken slightly as it enters the Coast

of Southern China tomorrow morning and make its final landfall along

Western Guangdong tomorrow afternoon. The 2-day forecast shows NEOGURI

turning NNE'ly across Mainland China and dissipate by Sunday morning

(Apr 20).

+ EFFECTS: NEOGURI's strong compact circulation is over the Eastern

Coast of Hainan. The inner bands of this typhoon has been spreading

across eastern Hainan with its strong western eyewall just along the

coast. Moderate to heavy rains accompanied with tropical storm force

winds reaching 100 km/hr can be expected along Eastern Hainan overnight.

Meanwhile, Its outer bands continues to spread across the whole of Hai-

nan and Guangdong Province including Macau & Hong Kong. These bands will

continue to bring widespread rains & thuderstorms with light to mode-

rate winds across the area overnight. Deteriorating weather conditions

can be expected tonight until tomorrow as the typhoon's inner bands and

its core moves closer to Western Guangdong. People living in low-lying

areas of Hainan and Southern China must seek higher grounds for possible

flooding due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this storm.

Precautionary measures must be implemented. Coastal Storm Surge flooding

of 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous

battering waves can be expected near and to the north of NEOGURI's pro-

jected path particularly on where the center makes landfall in Eastern

Hainan/Western Guangdong. Moderate damage is possible on this type of

storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is also possible along coastal

areas of Northern Vietnam & Southern China.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 18 APRIL
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 19.0º N...LONGITUDE 111.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 85 KM (45 NM) ESE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN IS.

DISTANCE 2: 160 KM (85 NM) SE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN IS.

DISTANCE 3: 270 KM (145 NM) SSE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA

DISTANCE 4: 430 KM (233 NM) SW OF MACAU, CHINA

DISTANCE 5: 475 KM (255 NM) SW OF HONG KONG, CHINA
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 959 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 23 FEET (7.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME FRI APRIL 18
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 APRIL: 20.1N 111.3E / 130-160 KPH / N @ 15 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 19 APRIL: 21.7N 111.6E / 100-130 KPH / NNE @ 15 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 20 APRIL: 24.6N 112.8E / 35-55 KPH / NNE @ 15 KPH
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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