Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD 01W (AMBO)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W [AMBO]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 14 APRIL 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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THE STRONG AND BROAD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) WHICH CROSSED NORTHERN

MINDANAO LAST NIGHT AND EMERGED OVER SULU SEA THIS MORNING, HAS
STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (AMBO)...ACCELERATING WEST-

WARD CLOSER TO CENTRAL PALAWAN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 02W is likely to become a Tropical Storm later to-

night before crossing Central Palawan and is expected to turn WNW towards

the South China Sea. This system is forecast to become a Category 1 Ty-

phoon, turning more NW'ly upon nearing the Eastern Coast of Vietnam Thurs-

day afternoon, Apr 17. It shall then weaken as it makes landfall over

Hainan Island on Friday afternoon (Apr 19).

+ EFFECTS: 02W's circulation is now affecting a wide-area of the Visayas

and Southern Luzon, bringing widespread rains with 30-50 km/hr winds

across the island of Palawan, Mindoro and portions of Western Visayas

and Zamboanga. People living in low-lying areas of Palawan must seek

higher grounds for possible flooding due to the anticipated heavy

rains brought about by this depression. Precautionary measures must

be implemented.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 14 APRIL
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 9.4º N...LONGITUDE 119.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 115 KM (62 NM) ESE OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PALAWAN, PH

DISTANCE 2: 350 KM (188 NM) WSW OF ILOILO CITY, PH

DISTANCE 3: 585 KM (315 NM) SSW OF MANILA, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PALAWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME MON APRIL 14
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - SOUTHERN NEGROS, SOUTHERN ILOILO, SOUTHERN ANTIQUE &

GUIMARAS ISLAND.

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 14 APRIL: 9.7N 118.0E / 65-85 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 15 APRIL: 10.4N 115.9E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 16 APRIL: 12.1N 112.8E / 100-130 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 4 PM (08 GMT) 14 APRIL: 9.6N 122.1E / WEST @ 15 KPH / 45 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 02W (AMBO)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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