Thursday, December 03, 2009

TS NIDA (26W) - Update #028

 


for Thursday, 03 December 2009 [6:38 AM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu December 03 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS NIDA (VINTA).


NIDA (VINTA/26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 kph

TYPHOON NIDA [VINTA/26W/0922]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 028

6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Thu 03 December 2009
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #044 & SatFix
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • NIDA (VINTA) has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it continues to dissipate over the Northern Philippine Sea...just a weakening Tropical Storm devoid of heavy cloud convection.

    *Cooler dry air, increasing upper-level winds (aka. Vertical Wind Shear) and slightly lower sea surface temperatures are the ones that contribute for the weakening of NIDA.

    *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

    Current Storm Information

    Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Thu Dec 03 2009
    Location of Center: 21.5º N Lat 134.2º E Lon
    Distance 1: 840 km (453 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
    Distance 2: 1,270 km (685 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    75 kph (40 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph (50 kts)
    6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
    Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
    Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TS
    Present Movement: WNW @ 13 kph (07 kts)
    Towards: Western Pacific Ocean
    Size (in Diameter): 705 km (380 nm) / Large
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 17 ft (5.1 m)
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public):
    2 AM PST Thu Dec 03

    + Forecast Outlook: NIDA's exposed, low-level center (1,000-15,000 feet), devoid of cloud convection is expected to continue moving WNW into the Northern Philippine Sea in the next 24 hours and dissipate. Complete dissipation is forecast early tomorrow morning (2AM Dec 04: 21.7N 132.8E). Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

    + Effects & Hazards: NIDA is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center of NIDA. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.

    + Current NE Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional light rains can be expected along the following affected areas: LUZON, BICOL REGION, MASBATE AND NORTHERN VISAYAS. Light to moderate cool northeasterly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) can be expected on these areas.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    Tropical Disturbance 97W (LPA)
    strengthening west of Guam...currently located near lat 14.2N lon 141.8E...or about 1,880 km East of Bicol Region...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 40 kph near the center...moving NW @ 17 kph. This system is likely to develop into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 12-24 hours. Watch out for a separate page on this disturbance once it becomes a Tropical Cyclone.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    External Links for TY NIDA (27W)

    View NOAA-CIRA's
    Latest Wind Analysis
    JTWC Latest Tracking Chart:
    wp2609.gif
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
    NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
    EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    NOAA's Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
     
  • JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12 & 24 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    2 PM (06 GMT) 03 DECEMBER: 21.6N 133.5E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / W @ 09 KPH 
    2 AM (18 GMT) 04 DECEMBER: 21.7N 132.8E / 35-55 KPH (LPA) / -- @ -- KPH 

  • REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) THU 03 DECEMBER POSITION: 21.5N 134.3E.

    *ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
    A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP
    CONVECTION SHEARED 90 NM EAST OF THE LLCC. IMAGERY ALSO DEPICTS AN
    AREA OF STRATOCUMULUS OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT INDICATING
    COOL DRY AIR ADVECTION INTO THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. SHIP
    OBSERVATIONS IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT CONFIRM COOLER TEMPERATURES
    (25C) AND DRY AIR ADVECTION (DEWPOINT 20C). THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS
    EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS
    SLOWLY WESTWARD. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE GENERALLY INDICATES A NORTHWARD
    TO NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGH TAU 24, HOWEVER, RECENT IMAGERY AS
    WELL AS LOW LEVEL FLOW SUPPORT A SLOW WESTWARD TRACK. BASED ON THE
    RAPIDLY WEAKENING LLCC AND INFLUX OF COOLER DRIER AIR, THE SYSTEM IS
    EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS...
    (
    more)

    >> NIDA, meaning: Name of womanName contributed by: Thailand.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
      
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    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



    > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

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