Friday, May 18, 2007

TS YUTU (02W) - Update #03


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003 
Name: TROPICAL STORM YUTU [02W/0702] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) FRI 18 MAY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) FRI 18 MAY 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM YUTU (02W) HAS TURNED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST
AFTER PASSING OVER YAP ISLAND LAST NIGHT...WIND SPEED IS
NOW AT 85 KM/HR.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: YUTU is expected to continue moving NW'ly
& shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this
afternoon. This system shall reach typhoon strength early to-
morrow morning (Sat May 19) and starts turning more northerly
with forecast Category 2 intensity of 160 km/hr. The 3 to 5-day
long range forecast (May 21-23) shows YUTU recurving towards
the NE across the Eastern Philippine Sea passing to the west
of Iwo Jima Island. Based on this latest forecast run, this
storm will not affect any part of the Philippines


+ EFFECTS: Outer (rain) bands associated with this storm now
moving away from the Micronesian Islands of Palau, Yap, Ulithi
today. Improving weather conditions can be expected sooner
than later
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: N/A.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 18 MAY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 11.1º N...LONGITUDE 136.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 250 KM (135 NM) NW OF YAP IS., FSM
DISTANCE 2: 1,210 KM (655 NM) EAST OF BORONGAN, E. SAMAR, PH
DISTANCE 3: 1,365 KM (738 NM) ESE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH
DISTANCE 4: 1,470 KM (793 NM) ESE OF NAGA CITY, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 991 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 26 KM/HR (14 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 370 KM (200 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 19 FEET (5.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM PST FRI MAY 18
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 MAY: 12.1N 135.0E / 100-130 KPH / NW @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 19 MAY: 13.8N 133.1E / 120-150 KPH / NW @ 19 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 18 MAY POSITION: 10.7N 137.0E.
^TS 02W (Yutu) is currently tracking westward on the sou-
thern periphery of the subtropical ridge (str) anchored
over the northern marianas islands. The str will be the
dominant steering influence through 36 hrs. After 36
hrs an approaching midlatitude trough, currently over
Mainland China, will induce a weakness in the str causing
a more poleward track. TS 02W will reach the ridge axis
between 48 and 72 hrs. Track forecast is based on a con-
sensus of the available dynamic aids..
.(more info)

>> YUTU {pronounced: yu~tu}, meaning: The Jade Hare. The 
   hare which lives on the moon. Chang'e, wife of Yi (a 
   tribal chief in ancient China), stole her husband's 
   elixir of immortality, and fled to the moon together 
   with the hare. They are said to be still living there 
   in a palace. Name contributed by: China.

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TS YUTU (02W/0702)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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