Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W StormWatch No. 01

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 98W STORMWATCH NO. 01 Issued at: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Friday 20 July 2018 Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT), Saturday 21 July 2018
Current Status and Outlook	A rapidly-organizing area of low pressure over the West Philippine Sea is eyeing to become a Tropical Cyclone within a day or two..  This system, Tropical Disturbance 98W, is expected to threaten Batanes Group of Islands this weekend. It will therefore induce the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring scattered to occasional rains with severe thunderstorms across the western sections of Northern and Central Luzon including Metro Manila through the weekend.
Where is LPA 98W?	As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 20…0900 GMT. The center was located outside of he Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) or over the northwestern part of the West Philippine Sea (near 18.8ºN 116.2ºE), about 468 km west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 636 km west-southwest of Basco, Batanes.
How strong is it?	Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 30 kph near the center…Gustiness: 40 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs)	East Slowly, towards the Western part of the Balintang Channel.
Forecast Highlights	LPA 98W is forecast to enter the PAR tomorrow morning (Saturday), July 21 and shall become a TD. It will then traverse the western part of the Balintang Channel on Sunday morning (July 22) as a Tropical Storm (TS), passing over or very close to Batanes Group of Islands.  This system shall move out of the northwestern border of the PAR on Monday morning (July 23). It will be named locally as "JOSIE" once PAGASA upgrades it into a Tropical Cyclone. This StormWatch Update will be replaced by a 6-hourly Tropical Cyclone Update once this system becomes a Tropical Cyclone.
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines

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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>

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