Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TYPHOON UTOR [SENIANG/25W/0622]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SUN 10 DECEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SUN 10 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #012
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SUN 10 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #012
_______________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON UTOR (SENIANG) GAINED MORE STRENGTH OVER THE JINTOTOLO
CHANNEL...EYE AND EYEWALL PASSING OVER BORACAY...STRONG WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED.
...All interests in the Mindoro, Central and Western Visayas
should closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
AND HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED.
...All interests in the Mindoro, Central and Western Visayas
should closely monitor the progress of Typhoon UTOR.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: UTOR is expected to continue moving West
to WNW making landfall anew over Southern Mindoro this morning
before moving out into the South China Sea. The eye shall be
crossing San Jose, Occ. Mindoro between 7-8 AM this morning
and pass just to the north of Coron (Calamian), Palawan this
afternoon around 2 PM. The 3 to 5-day long range forecast
(Dec 13 to 15) shows UTOR intensifying further over the
South China Sea with projected winds of 185-km/hr (Category
3) as it approaches the Coast of Vietnam and Hainan Island
Friday, Dec 15.
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's inner bands continues to affect the Is-
lands of Panay, Romblon, Mindoro (including Puerto Galera),
Masbate, Ticao, Marinduque and the coastal areas of Southern
Quezon & Batangas. Its core (eye + eyewall) is now passing
between Tablas and Boracay Islands moving towards Southern
Mindoro. Typhoon force winds with moderate to heavy rains
can be expected today along inner bands of Utor. Meanwhile,
its Outer Bands continues to spread across Northern Palawan,
Luzon, Visayas and the whole Bicol Region. 30 to 50 km/hr
winds and rains can be expected along areas affected by
the outer bands. People living around the slopes of Mayon
Volcano in Albay especially along areas where possible
LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are loca-
ted - must be evacuated now. Coastal Storm Surge flooding
of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large
and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to
the north of where the center of UTOR passes by over Nor-
thern Panay, Romblon and Mindoro.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 10 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 12.1º N...LONGITUDE 122.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 30 KM (16 NM) NE OF BORACAY ISLAND RESORT
DISTANCE 2: 60 KM (33 NM) SSW OF ROMBLON
DISTANCE 3: 205 KM (110 NM) SW OF NAGA CITY
DISTANCE 4: 205 KM (110 NM) WSW OF LEGAZPI CITY
DISTANCE 5: 115 KM (62 NM) ESE OF SAN JOSE, OCC. MINDORO
DISTANCE 6: 210 KM (113 NM) SSE OF LUCENA CITY
DISTANCE 7: 300 KM (165 NM) SSE OF METRO MANILA
DISTANCE 5: 115 KM (62 NM) ESE OF SAN JOSE, OCC. MINDORO
DISTANCE 6: 210 KM (113 NM) SSE OF LUCENA CITY
DISTANCE 7: 300 KM (165 NM) SSE OF METRO MANILA
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 967 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 26 KM/HR (14 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN MINDORO-CALAMIAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 650 KM (350 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 AM PST SUN DECEMBER 10
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - ROMBLON, SOUTHERN OCC MINDORO, SOUTHERN ORIENTAL
MINDORO, CAPIZ, AKLAN, NORTHERN ANTIQUE & CALAMIAN
GROUP.
#02 - MASBATE, BURIAS IS., REST OF MINDORO, MARINDUQUE,
CUYO IS., REST OF ANTIQUE AND ILOILO.
#01 - CATANDUANES, ALBAY, SORSOGON, CAMARINES SUR, SOUTHERN
QUEZON, BATANGAS, LUBANG IS., NORTHERN PALAWAN, NEGROS
OCC., NEGROS ORIENTAL, GUIMARAS, CEBU, LEYTE, BILIRAN
IS. & SAMAR PROVINCES.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 10 DEC: 12.6N 120.6E / 140-165 KPH / W @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 11 DEC: 12.9N 118.8E / 150-185 KPH / W @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 12 DEC: 13.5N 115.8E / 185-230 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 10 DECEMBER POSITION: 12.1N 122.8E.
^TY Utor is expected to maintain intensity or weaken only
slightly through 24 hours under the competing influences
of land interaction and good upper level outflow. The storm
is then expected to intensify in the South China Sea at a
slightly less than Climatological rate between 24 and 72
hours as continued good upper level outflow is somewhat
offset by entrainment of drier air from the asian
continent...(more info)
>> UTOR {pronounced: oo-TORE}, meaning: Marshallese word
for "squall line". Name contributed by: U.S.A.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 10 DECEMBER: 12.1N 122.4E / WNW @ 17 KPH / 140 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY UTOR (SENIANG)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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