Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TROPICAL STORM UTOR [SENIANG/25W/0622]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) FRI 08 DECEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SAT 09 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SAT 09 DECEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
_______________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL STORM UTOR (SENIANG) CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS
IT HEADS TOWARDS SAMAR ISLAND...PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES
MUST BE IN PLACE NOW AS THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO AFFECT
EASTERN VISAYAS AND SOUTHERN BICOL TOMORROW.
...PAGASA 10-min. sustained winds is now at 95 km/hr with
higher gusts. All interests in the Bicol Region (particu-
larly the towns surrounding Mayon Volcano), Samar, Leyte
and Surigao Provinces should closely monitor the progress
...PAGASA 10-min. sustained winds is now at 95 km/hr with
higher gusts. All interests in the Bicol Region (particu-
larly the towns surrounding Mayon Volcano), Samar, Leyte
and Surigao Provinces should closely monitor the progress
of Tropical Storm UTOR.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: UTOR is expected to continue moving WNW
for the next 24 to 48 hours and shall make landfall over
Eastern Samar or just north of Borongan tomorrow noontime,
Dec 9 - w/ projected sustained winds of 110-km/hr. It shall
continue crossing Northern Samar Island passing very close
to Calbayog City around sunset tomorrow or in the vicinity
of Samar Sea. UTOR shall cross Ticao & Masbate Islands pa-
ssing very close to Masbate, Masbate or about 90 km South
of Legazpi City tomorrow evening around 8 PM and shall be a
bout 135 km South of Naga City around 10 PM tomorrow (Dec 9)
or along the NW tip of Masbate. The storm shall pass over
Romblon around 2 AM Sunday, Dec 10 and pass about 65 km
North of Boracay around 5 to 6 AM Sunday and then cross
Southern Mindoro around 8 AM. The 3 to 5-day long range
forecast (Dec 11 to 13) shows UTOR over the South China
Sea, gaining Typhoon strength while moving towards Vietnam.
+ EFFECTS: UTOR's outer bands are now spreading across
Eastern Visayas and Northern Mindanao and shall reach Bicol
Region early tomorrow morning. Winds and rains can be expec-
ted along areas affected by the outer bands tonight and to-
morrow. Deteriorating weather conditions can be expected
tomorrow morning along Samar Provinces as the storm's inner
bands approaches. People living around the slopes of Mayon
Volcano in Albay especially along the area where possible
LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located
- must evacuate within 24 hours as heavy rains associated
by these intensifying storm is likely to reach the area
tomorrow morning.
morrow. Deteriorating weather conditions can be expected
tomorrow morning along Samar Provinces as the storm's inner
bands approaches. People living around the slopes of Mayon
Volcano in Albay especially along the area where possible
LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located
- must evacuate within 24 hours as heavy rains associated
by these intensifying storm is likely to reach the area
tomorrow morning.
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 08 DECEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 11.2º N...LONGITUDE 129.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 480 KM (260 NM) ESE OF BORONGAN, E. SAMAR
DISTANCE 2: 665 KM (360 NM) ESE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES
DISTANCE 3: 685 KM (370 NM) ESE OF MASBATE, MASBATE
DISTANCE 4: 700 KM (378 NM) ESE OF LEGAZPI CITY
DISTANCE 4: 700 KM (378 NM) ESE OF LEGAZPI CITY
DISTANCE 5: 765 KM (413 NM) ESE OF NAGA CITY
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 994 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 28 KM/HR (15 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SAMAR-MASBATE AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 PM PST FRI DECEMBER 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - SAMAR PROVINCES, BILIRAN IS., LEYTE PROVINCES,
DINAGAT & SIARGAO ISLANDS.
#01 - ALBAY, SORSOGON, MASBATE, ROMBLON, BURIAS IS.,
BOHOL, CEBU, NEGROS, GUIMARAS IS., ILOILO,
CAPIZ, ANTIQUE, AKLAN, SIQUIJOR, SURIGAO DEL
NORTE & CAMIGUIN IS.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 DEC: 11.6N 127.7E / 95-120 KPH / W @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 DEC: 12.1N 125.0E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 10 DEC: 12.9N 120.5E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 08 DECEMBER POSITION: 11.1N 130.5E.
^Recent animated infrared satellite imagery indicates increased
deep convection over the low-level circulation center (LLCC)
within the past 06 hours. A microwave pass shows a well-defined
band of convection wrapping from the northern flank of the
storm into the LLCC. TS UTOR continues to track along the sou-
thern periphery of a strong mid-level subtropical ridge (str)
to its north. The current westward track will become more
northwesterly after 48 hourse as TS UTOR reaches the southwes-
tern periphery of the str...(more info)
>> UTOR {pronounced: oo-TORE}, meaning: Marshallese word
for "squall line". Name contributed by: U.S.A.
____________
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS UTOR (SENIANG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS UTOR (SENIANG)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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