Tuesday, August 15, 2006

Super Typhoon SAOMAI (JUAN) - Final Update

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #07 **FINAL** 
Name: SUPER TYPHOON SAOMAI [JUAN/08W/0608] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) THU 10 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #023

Note: Email updates is currently issued ony once a day from Aug 9 to 13.
_______________________________________________________________________
  
SAOMAI (JUAN) EXITS PAR AND BECOMES THE THIRD SUPER
TYPHOON OF 2006...NOW MAKING LANDFALL ALONG SOUTHEASTERN
CHINA.

...SINCE THIS SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY DISSIPATE TOMORROW,
THIS IS THE FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SAOMAI is expected to move across
Zhejiang Province into Mainland China overnight and di-
ssipate rapidly tomorrow.

+ EFFECTS: SAOMAI's Core (Eye and Eyewall) has just star-
ted to move overland across Southern Zhejiang. Heavy rains
with very strong winds of more than 200 km/hr can be expec-
ted along areas affected by the core. Inner & Outer Bands
spreading across Fujian and the rest of Zhejiang Provin-
ces. These bands can produce moderate to heavy rains with
strong winds in excess of 100 km/hr tonight. Residents li-
ving along the river banks, steep mountain slopes and low-
lying areas are advised to stay alert and foresee evacua-
tion in case of possible flashfloods and mudslides. Hazar-
dous ocean surf & waves of up to 25 feet to 35 feet can be
expected along the core of SAOMAI. Coastal Storm Surge
flooding of more than 18 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the north of where the center makes
landfall in Southeastern China.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate Southwest (SW) Mon-
soon being enhanced by SAOMAI - is currently bringing
cloudy skies with widespread rains, gusty winds and strong
thunderstorms across Palawan, Western Visayas (including
Panay, Guimaras, Northern Negros) and Western Mindanao.
Southwesterly winds of 30 km/hr with higher gust can be
expected over the monsoon-affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 10 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 27.3º N...LONGITUDE 120.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 80 KM (43 NM) SOUTH OF WENZHOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 2: 185 KM (100 NM) NE OF FUZHOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 275 KM (149 NM) NW OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 240 KM/HR (130 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 295 KM/HR (160 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 910 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 36 FEET (10.9 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: ZHEJIANG-FUJIAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 480 KM (260 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM PST THU AUGUST 10
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 11 AUGUST: 28.1N 118.6E / 160-195 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 11 AUGUST: 29.2N 116.1E / 65-85 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 10 AUGUST POSITION: 27.3N 120.6E.
^STY SAOMAI CONTINUES TO TRACK RAPIDLY TO THE WEST-NORTH-
WEST ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE CENTERED SOUTH OF HONSHU. STY SAOMAI WILL MAKE
LANDFALL NORTH OF FUZHOU, CHINA BY 12 HRS...(more info)

>> SAOMAI {pronounced: sao~mai}, meaning: Name of planet 
   Venus. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
_________________________________________________________________________________


_________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:



Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near 
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh......noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on the STY SAOMAI (JUAN)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Posted by MJ Klein at 23:54 0 comments

Wednesday, August 09, 2006

Typhoon SAOMAI (JUAN) - Update #06

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #06 
Name: TYPHOON SAOMAI [JUAN/08W/0608] 
Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) WED 09 AUGUST 2006
Next Update: 1:00 PM (05:00 GMT) THU 10 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #011

Note: Email updates is currently issued ony once a day from Aug 9 to 13.
_______________________________________________________________________
  
TYPHOON SAOMAI (JUAN) STRENGTHENED INTO A CATEGORY
THREE CYCLONE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...THIS TY-
PHOON ENTERED THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY
(PAR) YESTERDAY MORNING, BUT IS NOT A THREAT TO THE
PHILIPPINES...PASSING SOUTH OF OKINAWA...AIMING FOR
THE ORTHERN TAIWAN-SOUTHEASTERN CHINA AREA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SAOMAI is expected to maintain its
fast WNW track, passing north of Yaeyama Islands tonight.
SAOMAI shall pass some 145 km. North of Taipei, Taiwan
around 10 AM local time tomorrow. It shall make landfall
to the South of Wenzhou, China or along the Zhejiang-Fu-
jian border in Southeastern China by 6 PM tomorrow, Thurs-
day (Aug 10) and rapidly dissipate over Mainland China
Aug 11.

+ EFFECTS: SAOMAI's northern circulation or its outer
bands affecting Ryukyu Islands (including Okinawa) and
shall reach Yaeyama Islands this afternoon. The core
(Eye+EyeWall) and its outer bands is forecast to reach
Northern Taiwan early tomorrow and Fujian-Zhejiang area
tomorrow afternoon. Hazardous ocean surf & waves of up
to 20 feet to 32 feet can be expected along the core of
SAOMAI. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 9 to 12 feet
above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous
battering waves...can be expected near and to the north
of where the center makes landfall in Southeastern
China and over the Yaeyama-Ryukyu Islands.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to Strong Southwest
(SW) Monsoon being enhanced by SAOMAI - is currently bri-
nging cloudy skies with widespread rains, gusty winds and
strong thunderstorms across Palawan, Western Visayas (in-
cluding Panay, Guimaras, Northern Negros) and Western Min-
danao. Southwesterly winds of 30 km/hr with higher gust
can be expected over the monsoon-affected areas. Take
note that the SW Monsoon has not yet reach Western Luzon.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) 09 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 24.3º N...LONGITUDE 127.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 245 KM (132 NM) SSW OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 620 KM (335 NM) ESE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 3: 730 KM (395 NM) NE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 240 KM/HR (130 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 938 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 32 FEET (9.7 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY THREE (3)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 31 KM/HR (17 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: YAEYAMA-SE CHINA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 480 KM (260 NM)/AVERAGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 9 AM PST WED AUGUST 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 8 PM (12 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 25.4N 125.3E / 215-260 KPH
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 26.3N 122.2E / 215-260 KPH
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 11 AUGUST: 26.7N 116.0E / 150-185 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 09 AUGUST POSITION: 23.9N 128.5E.
^TY SAOMAI HAS DEVELOPED A CLOUD FREE EYE IN THE LAST
SIX HOURS INDICATING THE MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION
THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE
INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE EYE CONTINUES
TO DEVELOP. POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE
REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL
IN INITIAL HOURS OF FORECAST AND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER EASTERN CHINA BETWEEN 12 & 24
HOURS. BEYOND TAU 24 THE INTENSITY WILL BEGIN TO DE-
CREASE AS TY SAOMAI BEGINS TO APPROACH CHINA, MAKING
LANDFALL AT 36 HOURS. BEYOND 36 HRS, TY SAOMAI WILL
BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM AND IS
EXPECTED TO BE FULLY DISSIPATED AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM
BY 48 HRS...(more info)

>> SAOMAI {pronounced: sao~mai}, meaning: Name of planet 
   Venus. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
_________________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 24.0N 128.3E / WNW @ 30 KPH / 140 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate_juan.shtml
_________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:



Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near 
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh......noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on the TY SAOMAI (JUAN)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Posted by MJ Klein at 16:45 0 comments

TS BOPHA (INDAY) - Update #05

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #05 
Name: TROPICAL STORM BOPHA [INDAY/10W/0609] 
Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) WED 09 AUGUST 2006
Next Update: 1:00 PM (05:00 GMT) THU 10 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #012

Note: Email updates is currently issued ony once a day from Aug 9 to 13.
_______________________________________________________________________
  
TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (INDAY) HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER
SOUTH-CENTRAL TAIWAN THIS MORNING...NOW OVER THE
STRAIT OF TAIWAN OR OFF THE WEST COAST OF TAIWAN.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: BOPHA is expected to track WSW under
the influence of Typhoon SAOMAI for the next 12 to 24
hours. The storm shall resume moving WNW, slightly inten-
sifying back to 75 km/hr by tomorrow morning (Thu Aug 10)
and pass some 50 km. South of Hong Kong Friday afternoon
around 1 PM local time. The 3-day long range forecast
shows BOPHA making landfall over Western Guangdong Satur-
day morning and rapidly dissipate Sunday morning (Aug 13).

+ EFFECTS: BOPHA's circulation (inner and outer bands)
continues to affect Western Taiwan, Fujian and Eastern
Guangdong. Cloudy skies with widespread rains and gusty
winds reaching 50 km/hr can be expected over these
areas today.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) 09 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 22.9º N...LONGITUDE 119.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 80 KM (43 NM) WNW OF KAOHSIUNG, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 2: 365 KM (197 NM) NW OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 3: 300 KM (162 NM) ESE OF SHANTOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 4: 560 KM (302 NM) ENE OF HONG KONG, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 997 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 26 KM/HR (14 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 335 KM (180 NM)/SMALL/AVERAGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 9 AM PST WED AUGUST 09
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 8 PM (12 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 22.5N 118.6E / 65-85 KPH
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 22.0N 117.2E / 75-95 KPH
> 8 AM (00 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 21.9N 114.7E / 75-95 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 09 AUGUST POSITION: 23.1N 120.0E.
^AFTER CLEARING TAIWAN AND CONSOLIDATING, TS BOPHA IS
FORECAST TO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY FROM 24 TO 48 HRS DUE TO
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. BEYOND 48 HRS, INTER-
ACTION WITH LAND SURFACES OVER CHINA WILL CAUSE THE
SYSTEM TO DISSIPATE...(more info)

>> BOPHA {pronounced: bo~fa}, meaning: Flower/The 
   name of little girl. Name contributed by: Cambodia.
_________________________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 10 AM (02 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 22.6N 120.0E / WNW @ 9 KPH / 75 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_________________________________________________________________________________
 
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near 
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh......noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on the TS BOPHA (INDAY/10W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Posted by MJ Klein at 16:44 0 comments

Tuesday, August 08, 2006

Typhoon SAOMAI (08W) - Update #05

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #05 
Name: TYPHOON SAOMAI [08W/0608] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 07 AUGUST 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 08 AUGUST 2006
Sources: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #011
_______________________________________________________________________
  
TYPHOON SAOMAI (08W) MAINTAINED ITS STRENGTH AS IT
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD IN THE DIRECTION OF OKINAWA-
TAIWAN AREA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SAOMAI is expected to enter the
PAR tomorrow morning as it intensifies. The 2 to 4-day
long-range forecast (Aug 9-11) shows SAOMI reaching
peak winds of 205 km/hr as it passes to the south of
Okinawa around 5 PM JST Wednesday, Aug 9. The core of
SAOMAI shall pass just to the north of Yaeyama Islands
Thursday morning and shall be about 220 km North of
Taipei, Taiwan around 4 PM local time Thursday (Aug
10). SAOMAI shall make landfall along the Zhejiang-
Fujian border in Southeastern China early morning
Friday (Aug 11) and dissipate over Anhui Province
Saturday (Aug 12).

+ EFFECTS: SAOMAI's circulation remains over the open
waters of the Western Pacific and is currently not
affecting any land mass at this time.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Strong Southwest (SW)
Monsoon being enhanced by this typhoon is currently
bringing widespread rains, gusty winds and strong
thunderstorms across Western Micronesia (Palau,
Yap, Ulithi, etc). Moderate SW Monsoon across Pa-
lawan, Sulu Sea, Western Visayas and Western Min-
danao. Cloudy weather conditions with light to
moderate or sometimes heavy rainfall can be
expected. Southwesterly winds of 30 to 40
km/hr may be expected.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Tropical Storm MARIA (09W)
continues moving towards Shikoku & Honshu (Japan).
Current position: 30.7N 137.6E or approx 495 km 
SE of Kochi, Japan,..Max sustained winds is at 
110 km/hr...moving NW at 20 km/hr. Forecast to 
make landfall tomorrow along Shikoku-Honshu Area.
Residents along those areas must take precautionary
measures.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 07 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.2º N...LONGITUDE 137.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 260 KM (140 NM) EAST OF PAR
DISTANCE 2: 1,265 KM (685 NM) SE OF OKINAWA, JAPANEAST OF P.A.R.
DISTANCE 3: 1,625 KM (877 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 967 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 28 KM/HR (15 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN-RYUKYU AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 740 KM (400 NM)/LARGE
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM PST MON AUGUST 07
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 20.4N 135.9E / 160-195 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 22.1N 133.4E / 185-230 KPH
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 24.8N 127.6E / 205-250 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST POSITION: 18.8N 138.1E.
^THE FORECAST TRACK REASONING REMAINS VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED
FROM THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. THE TANDEM FLOW OF DEEP-LAYER
RIDGING SOUTHEAST OF JAPAN AND A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES WILL TRACK TY 08W NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGH 72 HRS. SINCE THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK RATHER
RAPIDLY, IT IS LIKELY THAT SOME INTERACTION WITH TS BOPHA
(10W) WILL OCCUR AFTER 36 HRS. IN FACT, THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE
FORECAST TO BE APPROXIMATELY 300 NM APART BY 48 HRS. SINCE
TY SAOMAI (08W) IS THE LARGER CIRCULATION, IT SHOULD REMAIN
ON A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD TRACK, ALTHOUGH SOME FLUCTUATION
IN FORWARD SPEED OR A BRIEF OSCILLATION POLEWARD IS POSSIBLE.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THROUGH 36 HRS DUE TO VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT IN THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS...(more info)

>> SAOMAI {pronounced: sao~mai}, meaning: Name of planet 
   Venus. Name contributed by: Vietnam.
_________________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:



Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near 
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.....noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on the TY SAOMAI (08W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
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