Saturday, November 04, 2006

CIMARON (PAENG) just a Tropical Depression... [Update #014]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION CIMARON [PAENG/22W/0619] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 04 NOVEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 05 NOVEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #033
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
CIMARON (PAENG) DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DUE TO
UNFAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: CIMARON is expected to continue drifting
South to Southwesterly for the next 12 to 24 hours and di-
ssipate over the open seas
. 

+ EFFECTS: This system is not affecting any land mass.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 04 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.7º N...LONGITUDE 116.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 470 KM (253 NM) WSW OF VIGAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 480 KM (260 NM) WNW OF BAGUIO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 655 KM (355 NM) SSE OF HONG KONG, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: SOUTH @ 03 KM/HR (02 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 610 KM (330 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 13 FEET (3.9 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT SAT NOVEMBER 04
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: None
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 04 NOV: 16.5N 116.0E / 45-65 KPH / SW @ 03 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 05 NOV: 16.2N 115.7E / 35-55 KPH / SW @ 03 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 04 NOVEMBER POSITION: 16.8N 116.1E.
^An earlier burst of convection near the weakening low level
circulation center has dissipated, and latest microwave sate-
llite pass now depicts a circulation lacking significant
convection. The system is tracking southwestward under the
influence of lower level (850 mb) northeasterly flow asso-
ciated with ridging over southeast China and the East China
Sea. TD Cimaron is expected to continue tracking southwest-
ward until dissipation over water by tau 24..
.
(more info)

>> CIMARON {pronounced: see~mah~ron}, meaning: 
Philippine 
   Wild Ox
Name contributed by: Philippines
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD CIMARON (PAENG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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