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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday May 29 2011):
Ending the 6-hrly web, twitter, SMS and e-mail updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on TD SONGDA (CHEDENG) as the system loses tropical characteristics.
SONGDA (CHEDENG) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE SONGDA [CHEDENG/04W/1102]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 032 **FINAL**
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Mon 30 May 2011
Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Warning #038/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Storm SONGDA (CHEDENG) loses tropical characteristics, becomes an Extratropical Cyclone...passing off the Southern Coast of Honshu.
*This is the Final Advisory on this year's 2nd Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone.
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon May 30 2011
Location of Center: 34.1º N Lat 138.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 160 km (85 nm) SE of Nagoya, Japan
Distance 2: 225 km (123 nm) SSE of Osaka, Japan
Distance 3: 235 km (127 nm) SW of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Present Movement: NE @ 47 kph (26 kts)
Towards: S. Coast of Honshu
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 50 mm (Medium)
Rainrate (near center): 20 mm/hr (Moderate)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: XT
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): -- ft (-.- m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 9:00 PM JST Sun May 29
FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 12 hours)*
SONGDA (CHEDENG), as an XT Cyclone, will continue to accelerate NE to ENE-ward across the cooler waters of the North Pacific Ocean.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to near 55 km/hr (30 knots) with higher gusts.
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy with possible occasional rains w/ squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES including METRO MANILA & SUBIC BAY. Light to moderate SW to Westerly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow.
SONGDA's circulation continues to decay as observed on satellite imageries. Below are the summary of the typhoon's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
INNER RAINBANDS - N/A . Tropical Storm Conditions w/ Tropical Storm Force Winds (65-117 kph) can be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - spreading across Honshu. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (30-61 kph) can be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 30 mm (low rainfall) can be expected along the outer & inner rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 50 mm (medium) to the northeast of the center of SONGDA. (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Tropical Disturbance 90W (LPA/1008 MB) slowly developing off the South China Sea, west of Mindoro. Its possible center was located near lat 13.2N lon 117.2E...about 435 km WSW of Manila, PH...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph near the center...almost stationary. The 48-Hr. Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential on this system is @ 40%. View the latest satellite flash loop on this disturbance.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy with possible occasional rains w/ squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES including METRO MANILA & SUBIC BAY. Light to moderate SW to Westerly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow.
CURRENT SW MONSOON INTENSITY: MODERATE >> Mostly cloudy with possible occasional rains w/ squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN LUZON, WESTERN VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, ROMBLON, MARINDUQUE, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES including METRO MANILA & SUBIC BAY. Light to moderate SW to Westerly winds (not in excess of 40 kph) will blow.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:
REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 PM (12 GMT) SUN 29 MAY POSITION: 34.4N 136.6E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W, SONGDA, MAINTAINED A NORTHEASTERLY COURSE
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, TRACKING OVER THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF WAKAYAMA
PREFECTURE. THE OVER-LAND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM HAS RESULTED IN RAPID
WEAKENING. TD 04W HAS NEARLY COMPLETED EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (XTT)
AND HAS DEVELOPED BOTH WARM AND COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARIES. THE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS BASED ON OBSERVATIONS FROM MIE PREFECTURE AND
ISE WAN. CHUBU CENTRAIR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (RJGG), UPSTREAM OF THE |
LLCC, REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS RANGING FROM 20 TO 30 KNOTS AND GUSTS
UP TO 40 KNOTS AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHED. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
AN OVER-WATER TRACK WHILE COMPLETING XTT DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
THE RESUMPTION OF AN OVER-WATER TRACK WILL HELP MAINTAIN SYSTEM
INTENSITY UNTIL IT DEVELOPS INTO A GALE FORCE LOW EAST OF THE CHIBA
PENINSULA. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//..(more)
>> SONGDA, meaning: A river in northwestern Viet Nam. Name contributed by:Viet Nam.
LATEST WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: Wunderground.com Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP):
> Image source: NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on XT SONGDA (CHEDENG)...go visit our website @:
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