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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 30 2009):
Currently issuing the 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS MELOR (20W).
MELOR (20W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM MELOR [20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
5:00 PM PST (09:00 GMT) Wed 30 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #005
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Mariana Islands should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (20W).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to turn more westward for the next 24 to 36 hours and intensify. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows MELOR turning slightly WNW, becoming a Category 1 Typhoon as it approaches Northern Marianas on Friday Oct 2...and shall pass north of Guam or very close to Saipan & Rota Islands on Saturday afternoon Oct 3. Its projected wind speeds near the EYE during its passage over the Marianas is about 150 kph. Later on in the forecast, MELOR shall turn more to the NW in the direction of the Philippine Sea.
+ Effects: MELOR's circulation continues to improve with the early stages of a Central-Dense Overcast (CDO), an area where the EYE and EYEWALL will form. Its rainbands is not yet affecting any major Pacific Islands at this time. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along KETSANA's rainbands...
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PST Wed September 30 2009
Location of Center: 12.7º N Lat 154.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,055 km (570 nm) ESE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 990 km (535 nm) ESE of Saipan, CNMI
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph (45 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 26 kph (14 kts)
General Direction: Marianas
Size (in Diameter): 335 km (180 nm) / Small
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): N/A
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PST Wed Sep 30
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06 GMT Wed Sep 30
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 PM Wed Sep 30
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 13.2N 153.0E / 100-130 KPH (TS) / W @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 OCTOBER: 13.8N 148.2E / 140-165 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / WNW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 03 OCTOBER: 14.5N 145.6E / 150-185 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / WNW @ 13 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 12.6N 154.7E.
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN
CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED
NEAR THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. DEEP CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO BUILD, HOWEVER STILL REMAINS SPORADIC IN THE CURVED
BANDING AROUND THE CENTER. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER
HAS BEEN PERSISTING FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS, AND WITH INCREASED
ORGANIZATION AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, TS 20W IS FORECAST TO
INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD...(more)
>> MELOR, meaning: Jasmine Flower. Name contributed by: Malaysia.
RECENT NWS-GUAM TRACKING CHART:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION: (EXPERIENCING TECHNICAL PROBLEMS)
> Image source: Wunderground.
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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